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Just how likely does “probably” sound to you? Redditor zonination asked users of the polling subreddit /r/samplesize to assign percentage values to a range of common phrases about probability, and graphed the results. The sample size is tiny (just 46 respondents), but the data still looks clustered enough to be useful—plus it generally matches results from the survey that inspired it, a study of 23 NATO officers. Two years after their original survey, zonination has re-plotted the data as a gorgeous “ joyplot ” ( a la Joy Division ).

The graph above is smoothed; you can see a more precise and wonky graph, as well as the original data, at the project’s GitHub page. There are a couple of goofy outliers (one person labeled “probably not” as 100%) but zonination says the outliers are all from the same respondent (so they probably should have been omitted).

There’s also data on what amounts like “a few” or “dozens of” mean to people, but the graph is on a logarithmic scale that makes some answers hard to interpret. Of course, the phrases below were stripped of the context that could imply vastly different meanings. “Some Americans own two homes” obviously means something different from “I left some dishes in the sink.”

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